YEARLY HIGH
11.9116 BDT
YEARLY LOW
9.0367 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.5933 BDT

2014 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 11.9116. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 9.0367.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8749 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1800 to the December average rate of 9.0791, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 11.9116 was down 26.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 16.2663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,558 BDT
2013 Average 71,734 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 45,183 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,374.74 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

11.3901
8.8690
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.9616, compared to 9.2249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7367 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.9616
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.2249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.2130 BDT (High: 11.9116 / Low: 9.6986). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0230 BDT (High: 9.7166 / Low: 9.6936).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.2130
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0230

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.3024 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 11.1800) against the same month in 2013 (average: 16.1079), the exchange rate shifted by -4.9279 (-30.59%).

2014 Avg (January) 11.1800
2013 Avg (January) 16.1079

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.9116 9.6986 11.1800
February 9.9956 9.6926 9.8776
March 9.9022 9.6924 9.8033
April 9.7166 9.6936 9.7051
May 9.7196 9.5969 9.6550
June 9.5997 9.5269 9.5489
July 9.5615 9.4538 9.5203
August 9.4237 9.2052 9.3278
September 9.2663 9.1299 9.2043
October 9.1754 9.0749 9.1307
November 9.1089 9.0646 9.0875
December 9.1916 9.0367 9.0791