YEARLY HIGH
0.4694 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.3920 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4294 BRL

2012 ARS to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 0.4694. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 0.3920.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0774 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4146 to the December average rate of 0.4265, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4694 was up 4.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.4494, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,347 BRL
2011 Average 2,027 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 1,960 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 387.17 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.4632
0.3896
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4243, compared to 0.4346 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4243
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4346

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0338 BRL (High: 0.4645 / Low: 0.4307). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 BRL (High: 0.4389 / Low: 0.4312).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0338
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0188 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0188

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 0.4571) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3879), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0691 (+17.82%).

2012 Avg (June) 0.4571
2011 Avg (June) 0.3879

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4345 0.4010 0.4146
February 0.4009 0.3920 0.3957
March 0.4184 0.3966 0.4114
April 0.4290 0.4159 0.4215
May 0.4645 0.4307 0.4453
June 0.4694 0.4492 0.4571
July 0.4508 0.4400 0.4460
August 0.4473 0.4367 0.4401
September 0.4389 0.4312 0.4341
October 0.4339 0.4261 0.4297
November 0.4375 0.4255 0.4308
December 0.4419 0.4163 0.4265