YEARLY HIGH
0.1782 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.0982 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1371 BRL

2018 ARS to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.1782. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0800 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1689 to the December average rate of 0.1029, the exchange rate registered a net change of -39.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1782 was down 15.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 891 BRL
2017 Average 967 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 491 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 399.86 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1756
0.0948
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1600, compared to 0.1142 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1600
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1142

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0369 BRL (High: 0.1440 / Low: 0.1071). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 BRL (High: 0.1052 / Low: 0.1010).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0369
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0255 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0255

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1689) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2012), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0323 (-16.06%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1689
2017 Avg (January) 0.2012

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1782 0.1602 0.1689
February 0.1676 0.1598 0.1638
March 0.1650 0.1580 0.1622
April 0.1721 0.1639 0.1683
May 0.1694 0.1449 0.1545
June 0.1562 0.1328 0.1421
July 0.1427 0.1339 0.1383
August 0.1440 0.1071 0.1319
September 0.1101 0.0982 0.1064
October 0.1037 0.0991 0.1015
November 0.1060 0.1002 0.1040
December 0.1052 0.1010 0.1029