YEARLY HIGH
0.4410 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.2919 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3599 BRL

2015 ARS to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 0.4410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.2919.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1490 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3066 to the December average rate of 0.3489, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.4410 was up 21.01% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.3644, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,205 BRL
2014 Average 1,454 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 1,460 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 745.04 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.4270
0.2956
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3364, compared to 0.3833 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0469 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3364
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3833

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.1064 BRL (High: 0.3983 / Low: 0.2919). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 BRL (High: 0.3525 / Low: 0.3386).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1064
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0454 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0454

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.4160) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.2774), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1386 (+49.95%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.4160
2014 Avg (September) 0.2774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3163 0.2985 0.3066
February 0.3323 0.3109 0.3244
March 0.3735 0.3257 0.3582
April 0.3600 0.3286 0.3442
May 0.3531 0.3329 0.3411
June 0.3525 0.3386 0.3441
July 0.3706 0.3408 0.3519
August 0.3886 0.3714 0.3793
September 0.4410 0.3954 0.4160
October 0.4253 0.3992 0.4092
November 0.4054 0.3833 0.3944
December 0.3983 0.2919 0.3489