2014 ARS to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3644 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.2662 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2908 BRL

2014 ARS to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3644. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 31, dropping to 0.2662.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0982 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3422 to the December average rate of 0.3096, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3644 was down 16.18% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,822 BRL

2013 Average 1,974 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 1,331 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 491.18 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3491

0.2657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2948, compared to 0.2868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0081 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2948

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0640 BRL (High: 0.3644 / Low: 0.3004). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 BRL (High: 0.2762 / Low: 0.2708).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0640

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0390 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.3422) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.4110), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0688 (-16.75%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.3422

2013 Avg (January) 0.4110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3644	0.3004	0.3422
February	0.3099	0.2951	0.3031
March	0.3000	0.2825	0.2936
April	0.2845	0.2744	0.2790
May	0.2795	0.2739	0.2764
June	0.2813	0.2701	0.2748
July	0.2762	0.2708	0.2727
August	0.2773	0.2662	0.2727
September	0.2893	0.2662	0.2774
October	0.2956	0.2820	0.2889
November	0.3069	0.2905	0.2993
December	0.3186	0.2996	0.3096