YEARLY HIGH
0.3067 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.2045 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2373 BRL

2016 ARS to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.3067. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.2045.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1023 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2982 to the December average rate of 0.2119, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3067 was down 30.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4410, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,534 BRL
2015 Average 1,800 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 1,022 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 511.43 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3070
0.2016
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2591, compared to 0.2154 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0437 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2591
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2154

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0430 BRL (High: 0.2580 / Low: 0.2149). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 BRL (High: 0.2190 / Low: 0.2132).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0430
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0295 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0295

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.2982) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3066), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0084 (-2.74%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.2982
2015 Avg (January) 0.3066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3067 0.2870 0.2982
February 0.2831 0.2543 0.2687
March 0.2557 0.2374 0.2477
April 0.2550 0.2404 0.2468
May 0.2597 0.2407 0.2506
June 0.2580 0.2149 0.2427
July 0.2278 0.2148 0.2199
August 0.2190 0.2132 0.2162
September 0.2220 0.2104 0.2156
October 0.2142 0.2052 0.2104
November 0.2263 0.2120 0.2185
December 0.2229 0.2045 0.2119