2014 ARS to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.5275 HUF

YEARLY LOW

27.2552 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.7240 HUF

2014 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 33.5275. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 8, dropping to 27.2552.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.2723 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.8485 to the December average rate of 29.6051, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 33.5275 was down 27.97% compared to the 2013 peak of 46.5496, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 167,637 HUF

2013 Average 205,420 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 136,276 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,361.61 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

32.2743

27.1647

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.7073, compared to 28.7407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0334 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.7073

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.7407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 5.7628 HUF (High: 33.5275 / Low: 27.7647). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3627 HUF (High: 27.7628 / Low: 27.4001).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.7628

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3627

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.9694 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9694

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 31.8485) against the same month in 2013 (average: 44.6583), the exchange rate shifted by -12.8098 (-28.68%).

2014 Avg (January) 31.8485

2013 Avg (January) 44.6583

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.5275	27.7647	31.8485
February	29.2636	28.5600	28.8791
March	28.8713	27.9130	28.4386
April	28.0143	27.5543	27.8014
May	27.7628	27.4001	27.5905
June	27.9324	27.2552	27.6855
July	28.5295	27.8709	28.0579
August	28.5727	28.1836	28.3526
September	29.1458	28.4108	28.8766
October	29.2481	28.2758	28.6407
November	29.2439	28.5371	28.9115
December	30.7821	28.7909	29.6051