2018 ARS to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.9298 HUF

YEARLY LOW

6.7503 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.2167 HUF

2018 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 13.9298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 6.7503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1794 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.3408 to the December average rate of 7.5035, the exchange rate registered a net change of -43.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.9298 was down 28.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 19.4965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,649 HUF

2017 Average 83,244 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 33,752 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,897.19 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.9511

6.6274

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.1583, compared to 8.2750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.8833 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.1583

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 2.9926 HUF (High: 10.2306 / Low: 7.2380). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3091 HUF (High: 12.8914 / Low: 12.5823).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.9926

February Spread (Stable) ±0.3091

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.1953 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1953

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 13.3408) against the same month in 2017 (average: 18.2890), the exchange rate shifted by -4.9483 (-27.06%).

2018 Avg (January) 13.3408

2017 Avg (January) 18.2890

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.9298	12.7062	13.3408
February	12.8914	12.5823	12.7327
March	12.6858	12.3548	12.5261
April	12.7183	12.3874	12.5486
May	12.6407	10.5790	11.4075
June	11.0033	9.7553	10.3942
July	10.2350	9.7351	10.0507
August	10.2306	7.2380	9.4330
September	7.6418	6.7503	7.2377
October	7.9951	7.0705	7.6214
November	8.0802	7.3116	7.8038
December	7.7774	7.3312	7.5035