2016 ARS to HUF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.4096 HUF

YEARLY LOW

17.9017 HUF

YEARLY AVERAGE

19.1017 HUF

2016 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 22.4096. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 17.9017.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5079 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.3413 to the December average rate of 18.6945, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 22.4096 was down 32.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 33.1714, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 112,048 HUF

2015 Average 151,608 HUF

Yearly Trough Low 89,509 HUF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,539.52 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

21.6515

17.9298

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.5949, compared to 18.6086 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9863 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.5949

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.6086

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.2307 HUF (High: 20.2875 / Low: 18.0568). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6741 HUF (High: 18.9957 / Low: 18.3216).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.2307

August Spread (Stable) ±0.6741

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.4369 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4369

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 21.3413) against the same month in 2015 (average: 31.6040), the exchange rate shifted by -10.2626 (-32.47%).

2016 Avg (January) 21.3413

2015 Avg (January) 31.6040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.4096	20.6058	21.3413
February	20.2875	18.0568	18.9044
March	19.3840	18.0983	18.7518
April	19.6450	18.6165	19.0997
May	20.3129	19.0444	19.7201
June	20.3359	18.8434	19.7520
July	19.4336	18.5859	19.0708
August	18.9957	18.3216	18.6528
September	18.5785	17.9017	18.2399
October	18.7138	17.9073	18.3298
November	18.9281	18.2536	18.6635
December	19.1078	18.2388	18.6945