YEARLY HIGH
7.6272 HUF
YEARLY LOW
4.8516 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1911 HUF

2019 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 7.6272. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 4.8516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7756 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4917 to the December average rate of 4.9796, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.6272 was down 45.25% compared to the 2018 peak of 13.9298, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,136 HUF
2018 Average 51,019 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 24,258 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,878.13 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.7429
4.7284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8740, compared to 5.5082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3658 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8740
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.8188 HUF (High: 6.6704 / Low: 4.8516). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1628 HUF (High: 5.0926 / Low: 4.9298).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.8188
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.1377 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1377

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 7.4917) against the same month in 2018 (average: 13.3408), the exchange rate shifted by -5.8490 (-43.84%).

2019 Avg (January) 7.4917
2018 Avg (January) 13.3408

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.6272 7.3295 7.4917
February 7.4857 7.0475 7.3087
March 7.0077 6.4813 6.7859
April 6.8394 6.3135 6.6430
May 6.5840 6.3883 6.4756
June 6.7144 6.3005 6.5389
July 6.9641 6.6926 6.8433
August 6.6704 4.8516 5.7056
September 5.4132 5.0666 5.3375
October 5.3438 4.9463 5.1254
November 5.1153 4.9248 5.0577
December 5.0926 4.9298 4.9796