YEARLY HIGH
2.1279 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.4263 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3528 HUF

2023 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 2.1279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.4263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7016 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0118 to the December average rate of 0.6413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -68.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 2.1279 was down 36.31% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.3411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,640 HUF
2022 Average 14,463 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 2,132 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,508.00 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

2.1488
0.5042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6865, compared to 1.0190 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6675 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6865
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0190

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 0.5477 HUF (High: 0.9740 / Low: 0.4263). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0415 HUF (High: 1.0636 / Low: 1.0221).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5477
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0415

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3510 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3510

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 2.0118) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.0530), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0412 (-34.10%).

2023 Avg (January) 2.0118
2022 Avg (January) 3.0530

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1279 1.9160 2.0118
February 1.9450 1.8100 1.8744
March 1.8638 1.6716 1.7765
April 1.6805 1.5249 1.5925
May 1.5280 1.4446 1.4857
June 1.4371 1.3241 1.3782
July 1.3603 1.2440 1.2918
August 1.2916 0.9928 1.1108
September 1.0678 1.0123 1.0350
October 1.0636 1.0221 1.0427
November 1.0351 0.9539 0.9922
December 0.9740 0.4263 0.6413