2012 ARS to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8667 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.6357 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7801 UAH

2012 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 1.8667. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 1.6357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2311 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8588 to the December average rate of 1.6613, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8667 was down 6.99% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.0070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,334 UAH

2011 Average 9,677 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 8,178 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,155.40 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.8786

1.6416

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8320, compared to 1.7282 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8320

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7282

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was December, with a trading range of 0.0560 UAH (High: 1.6917 / Low: 1.6357). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 UAH (High: 1.8667 / Low: 1.8526).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0560

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0436 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0436

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.8588) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.9992), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1404 (-7.02%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.8588

2011 Avg (January) 1.9992

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8667	1.8526	1.8588
February	1.8553	1.8391	1.8466
March	1.8547	1.8360	1.8436
April	1.8375	1.8216	1.8277
May	1.8220	1.8055	1.8117
June	1.8281	1.7888	1.8035
July	1.7942	1.7661	1.7782
August	1.7788	1.7523	1.7595
September	1.7621	1.7292	1.7400
October	1.7358	1.7114	1.7251
November	1.7171	1.6869	1.7049
December	1.6917	1.6357	1.6613