2018 ARS to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5311 UAH

YEARLY LOW

0.6848 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0367 UAH

2018 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.5311. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.6848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8463 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4992 to the December average rate of 0.7341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -51.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5311 was down 13.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7797, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,656 UAH

2017 Average 8,058 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 3,424 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,231.69 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5759

0.6552

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2608, compared to 0.8127 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4480 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2608

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8127

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2754 UAH (High: 1.0048 / Low: 0.7294). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0370 UAH (High: 1.3130 / Low: 1.2760).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2754

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0370

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1950 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.4992) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7149), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2157 (-12.58%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.4992

2017 Avg (January) 1.7149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5311	1.4137	1.4992
February	1.4377	1.3325	1.3695
March	1.3378	1.2826	1.3012
April	1.3130	1.2760	1.2925
May	1.2695	1.0460	1.1153
June	1.0507	0.9130	0.9869
July	0.9814	0.9089	0.9554
August	1.0048	0.7294	0.9270
September	0.7671	0.6848	0.7319
October	0.7848	0.7149	0.7592
November	0.7940	0.7137	0.7688
December	0.7719	0.7166	0.7341