YEARLY HIGH
0.4408 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.3355 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3844 UAH

2020 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 0.4408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.3355.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1053 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4033 to the December average rate of 0.3412, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.4408 was down 42.47% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.7662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,204 UAH
2019 Average 2,780 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 1,677 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 526.63 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.4279
0.3333
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4034, compared to 0.3655 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0379 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4034
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3655

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0445 UAH (High: 0.4408 / Low: 0.3963). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 UAH (High: 0.3742 / Low: 0.3717).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0445
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0180 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0180

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 0.4200) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.6514), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2314 (-35.52%).

2020 Avg (March) 0.4200
2019 Avg (March) 0.6514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4156 0.3962 0.4033
February 0.4156 0.3952 0.4013
March 0.4408 0.3963 0.4200
April 0.4299 0.4032 0.4148
May 0.4087 0.3909 0.3968
June 0.3907 0.3790 0.3840
July 0.3885 0.3782 0.3830
August 0.3834 0.3702 0.3758
September 0.3742 0.3717 0.3729
October 0.3717 0.3618 0.3656
November 0.3635 0.3505 0.3545
December 0.3509 0.3355 0.3412