YEARLY HIGH
0.3377 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.2602 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2880 UAH

2021 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.3377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 10, dropping to 0.2602.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0776 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3285 to the December average rate of 0.2672, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.3377 was down 23.38% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.4408, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,689 UAH
2020 Average 1,922 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 1,301 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 387.78 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.3350
0.2576
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3048, compared to 0.2713 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0336 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3048
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2713

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0154 UAH (High: 0.3377 / Low: 0.3223). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 UAH (High: 0.2784 / Low: 0.2737).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0154
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0141 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.3285) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4033), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0748 (-18.55%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.3285
2020 Avg (January) 0.4033

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3377 0.3223 0.3285
February 0.3201 0.3107 0.3144
March 0.3110 0.3024 0.3053
April 0.3044 0.2968 0.3012
May 0.2984 0.2904 0.2935
June 0.2900 0.2828 0.2859
July 0.2861 0.2774 0.2827
August 0.2784 0.2737 0.2756
September 0.2765 0.2695 0.2721
October 0.2700 0.2633 0.2658
November 0.2697 0.2602 0.2641
December 0.2704 0.2648 0.2672