YEARLY HIGH
0.7662 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.3881 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5568 UAH

2019 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.7662. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.3881.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3781 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7466 to the December average rate of 0.3939, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.7662 was down 49.96% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.5311, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,831 UAH
2018 Average 5,175 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 1,940 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,890.68 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.7819
0.3587
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6537, compared to 0.4599 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1937 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6537
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4599

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1539 UAH (High: 0.5734 / Low: 0.4194). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0127 UAH (High: 0.4008 / Low: 0.3881).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1539
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0127

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1158 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1158

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.7466) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.4992), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7526 (-50.20%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.7466
2018 Avg (January) 1.4992

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7662 0.7338 0.7466
February 0.7463 0.6833 0.7087
March 0.6788 0.6175 0.6514
April 0.6458 0.5767 0.6218
May 0.6029 0.5792 0.5883
June 0.6186 0.5865 0.6053
July 0.6275 0.5727 0.6063
August 0.5734 0.4194 0.4905
September 0.4567 0.4194 0.4366
October 0.4300 0.4156 0.4246
November 0.4169 0.3996 0.4076
December 0.4008 0.3881 0.3939