2014 BBD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1391.3492 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1226.1183 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1298.7053 UGX

2014 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 1391.3492. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 1226.1183.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 165.2308 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1250.4375 to the December average rate of 1383.0429, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1391.3492 was up 2.37% compared to the 2013 peak of 1359.1701, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,956,746 UGX

2013 Average 6,466,084 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,130,592 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 826,154.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1397.9135

1219.4659

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1261.2308, compared to 1336.1798 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 74.9490 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1261.2308

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1336.1798

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 43.0525 UGX (High: 1388.8417 / Low: 1345.7892). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.8233 UGX (High: 1391.3492 / Low: 1376.5258).

November Spread (Volatile) ±43.0525

December Spread (Stable) ±14.8233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 16.1009 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -16.1009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1383.0429) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1256.3615), the exchange rate shifted by +126.6814 (+10.08%).

2014 Avg (December) 1383.0429

2013 Avg (December) 1256.3615

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1265.2833	1236.6475	1250.4375
February	1263.7092	1226.1183	1234.3365
March	1282.8333	1255.1867	1266.4392
April	1281.8500	1255.1417	1263.3498
May	1274.4258	1259.2367	1264.8607
June	1304.3575	1272.8875	1287.9609
July	1333.0500	1295.6583	1315.5502
August	1311.3683	1296.3500	1305.0081
September	1326.0550	1300.7283	1309.3499
October	1357.1850	1322.3742	1337.8362
November	1388.8417	1345.7892	1366.2913
December	1391.3492	1376.5258	1383.0429