2019 BBD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1890.5620 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1812.0766 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1852.1699 UGX

2019 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1890.5620. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 1812.0766.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 78.4855 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1852.1211 to the December average rate of 1837.2687, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1890.5620 was down 3.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 1954.6692, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,452,810 UGX

2018 Average 9,316,367 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,060,383 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 392,427.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1888.0223

1831.9190

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1860.0464, compared to 1844.2933 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 15.7531 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1860.0464

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1844.2933

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 48.4757 UGX (High: 1886.1203 / Low: 1837.6446). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.2083 UGX (High: 1857.8771 / Low: 1846.6688).

June Spread (Volatile) ±48.4757

March Spread (Stable) ±11.2083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 17.9148 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -17.9148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1883.3470) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1863.6313), the exchange rate shifted by +19.7157 (+1.06%).

2019 Avg (May) 1883.3470

2018 Avg (May) 1863.6313

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1867.6821	1828.7713	1852.1211
February	1851.8952	1832.1514	1836.5943
March	1857.8771	1846.6688	1852.5502
April	1879.0994	1856.5437	1869.3009
May	1890.5620	1871.8540	1883.3470
June	1886.1203	1837.6446	1866.3650
July	1862.1289	1843.4590	1848.4502
August	1851.6667	1812.0766	1845.3919
September	1846.2732	1822.1497	1837.7109
October	1864.4080	1833.3250	1848.9041
November	1854.9895	1841.7760	1848.0340
December	1852.4917	1829.9130	1837.2687