2021 BBD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1859.2667 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1758.6646 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1793.5501 UGX

2021 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1859.2667. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 1758.6646.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 100.6021 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1845.5934 to the December average rate of 1777.5777, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1859.2667 was down 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 1960.1582, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,296,333 UGX

2020 Average 9,292,183 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,793,323 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 503,010.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1853.6676

1756.7777

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1811.6520, compared to 1775.4481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 36.2040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1811.6520

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1775.4481

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 45.0447 UGX (High: 1814.6126 / Low: 1769.5679). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.4296 UGX (High: 1834.3232 / Low: 1826.8936).

October Spread (Volatile) ±45.0447

March Spread (Stable) ±7.4296

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 36.7501 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -36.7501

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1845.5934) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1839.2410), the exchange rate shifted by +6.3524 (+0.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 1845.5934

2020 Avg (January) 1839.2410

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1859.2667	1827.6312	1845.5934
February	1839.3670	1829.9750	1833.4994
March	1834.3232	1826.8936	1830.8745
April	1831.7332	1787.9484	1813.2428
May	1797.4295	1765.1098	1776.4927
June	1778.4127	1758.6646	1770.2094
July	1782.4756	1769.1563	1775.4520
August	1776.3678	1764.9999	1768.9327
September	1780.0715	1759.5235	1764.8519
October	1814.6126	1769.5679	1788.6815
November	1790.0015	1764.1424	1777.1926
December	1789.8633	1769.6958	1777.5777