2018 BBD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1954.6692 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1813.8000 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1863.1483 UGX

2018 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1954.6692. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1813.8000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 140.8692 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1819.8658 to the December average rate of 1857.0181, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1954.6692 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 1832.4500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,773,346 UGX

2017 Average 9,040,629 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,069,000 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 704,346.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1929.0257

1809.8008

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1849.7225, compared to 1876.5740 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 26.8515 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1849.7225

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1876.5740

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 108.2035 UGX (High: 1950.1567 / Low: 1841.9532). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.9085 UGX (High: 1829.9750 / Low: 1814.0665).

July Spread (Volatile) ±108.2035

January Spread (Stable) ±15.9085

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 40.9148 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -40.9148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1919.0903) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1794.8785), the exchange rate shifted by +124.2119 (+6.92%).

2018 Avg (June) 1919.0903

2017 Avg (June) 1794.8785

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1829.9750	1814.0665	1819.8658
February	1831.7500	1813.8000	1819.7362
March	1845.4500	1820.6165	1827.7422
April	1858.0000	1838.8250	1848.2692
May	1887.4644	1854.4500	1863.6313
June	1954.6692	1886.3322	1919.0903
July	1950.1567	1841.9532	1878.1755
August	1885.0601	1842.6025	1865.1738
September	1913.7016	1882.0525	1901.2084
October	1912.3202	1872.7561	1889.2751
November	1878.8044	1853.6452	1868.5933
December	1869.8849	1846.3218	1857.0181