YEARLY HIGH
1908.8750 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1792.2125 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1861.7710 UGX

2023 BBD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BBD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 1908.8750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 1792.2125.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 116.6625 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1845.9014 to the December average rate of 1890.8402, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1908.8750 was down 2.11% compared to the 2022 peak of 1950.0016, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,544,375 UGX
2022 Average 9,225,393 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,961,062 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 583,312.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1896.8696
1824.5159
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1857.4623, compared to 1866.0797 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.6173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1857.4623
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1866.0797

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 80.0275 UGX (High: 1872.2400 / Low: 1792.2125). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.8147 UGX (High: 1903.1357 / Low: 1879.3210).

August Spread (Volatile) ±80.0275
December Spread (Stable) ±23.8147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 21.7283 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -21.7283

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 1888.8990) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1876.9822), the exchange rate shifted by +11.9168 (+0.63%).

2023 Avg (November) 1888.8990
2022 Avg (November) 1876.9822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1865.9088 1828.8241 1845.9014
February 1862.1012 1824.6292 1843.4571
March 1894.5952 1847.3081 1868.4458
April 1891.1851 1857.3624 1871.4624
May 1889.4379 1855.2045 1863.2336
June 1877.1365 1826.1557 1852.2737
July 1848.4772 1800.3840 1830.5454
August 1872.2400 1792.2125 1840.4088
September 1884.6171 1857.5472 1869.4347
October 1892.0112 1864.1784 1876.3500
November 1908.8750 1875.6366 1888.8990
December 1903.1357 1879.3210 1890.8402