2016 BDT to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

46.0325 UGX

YEARLY LOW

42.2330 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

43.5063 UGX

2016 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 46.0325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 42.2330.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7995 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.8992 to the December average rate of 45.3983, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 46.0325 was down 2.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 47.4474, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,163 UGX

2015 Average 207,916 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 211,165 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,997.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

45.6787

42.3134

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.0921, compared to 43.9204 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8283 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.0921

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.9204

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.7360 UGX (High: 44.3508 / Low: 42.6148). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1700 UGX (High: 43.1914 / Low: 43.0214).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.7360

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1700

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.7209 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7209

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 45.3983) against the same month in 2015 (average: 42.9292), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4690 (+5.75%).

2016 Avg (December) 45.3983

2015 Avg (December) 42.9292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	44.3458	42.9861	43.8992
February	44.3508	42.6148	43.6355
March	43.0798	42.6210	42.9146
April	43.0100	42.2330	42.6418
May	43.0921	42.2692	42.5938
June	43.5387	42.5380	42.8679
July	43.4496	42.8110	43.1020
August	43.1469	42.9186	43.0108
September	43.1914	43.0214	43.1165
October	44.2006	43.2018	43.7532
November	45.8124	44.1787	45.1417
December	46.0325	44.9754	45.3983