YEARLY HIGH
46.5975 UGX
YEARLY LOW
43.5793 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.4276 UGX

2018 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 46.5975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 43.5793.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0182 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.8351 to the December average rate of 44.2905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 46.5975 was up 1.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 46.0362, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 232,988 UGX
2017 Average 222,733 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 217,897 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,090.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

45.5574
43.5778
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.1980, compared to 44.6572 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4592 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.1980
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.6572

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 2.9816 UGX (High: 46.5975 / Low: 43.6159). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4118 UGX (High: 44.8147 / Low: 44.4029).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.9816
November Spread (Stable) ±0.4118

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7824 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7824

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 44.6100) against the same month in 2017 (average: 44.6265), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0165 (-0.04%).

2018 Avg (July) 44.6100
2017 Avg (July) 44.6265

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.2997 43.5793 43.8351
February 44.0806 43.5889 43.7428
March 44.4807 43.6738 43.9841
April 44.5306 43.8101 44.2149
May 44.6665 43.7953 44.0187
June 46.2686 44.6213 45.3925
July 46.5975 43.6159 44.6100
August 44.9570 43.6111 44.3113
September 45.6491 44.8481 45.3308
October 45.4754 44.0910 44.7876
November 44.8147 44.4029 44.6131
December 44.6207 44.0072 44.2905