YEARLY HIGH
30.7878 UGX
YEARLY LOW
28.1487 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.5704 UGX

2025 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 30.7878. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 28.1487.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6391 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.3153 to the December average rate of 29.2359, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 30.7878 was down 14.49% compared to the 2024 peak of 36.0033, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 153,939 UGX
2024 Average 163,029 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 140,744 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,195.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

30.5047
28.2320
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.0769, compared to 29.0639 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0129 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.0769
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.0639

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 1.5550 UGX (High: 29.9510 / Low: 28.3960). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1413 UGX (High: 30.2610 / Low: 30.1197).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.5550
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.5077 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5077

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 30.3153) against the same month in 2024 (average: 34.6663), the exchange rate shifted by -4.3510 (-12.55%).

2025 Avg (January) 30.3153
2024 Avg (January) 34.6663

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 30.7878 30.1392 30.3153
February 30.3336 30.1132 30.2391
March 30.2610 30.1197 30.1857
April 30.5893 29.9928 30.1879
May 30.1213 29.7491 30.0205
June 29.8050 29.2910 29.5128
July 29.6164 29.1789 29.3981
August 29.3793 29.1845 29.2994
September 29.1630 28.6684 28.8301
October 28.6979 28.1487 28.4214
November 29.9510 28.3960 29.1988
December 29.6049 28.9142 29.2359