YEARLY HIGH
36.0629 UGX
YEARLY LOW
32.9734 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.4785 UGX

2023 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 36.0629. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 32.9734.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0896 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.2315 to the December average rate of 34.3732, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 36.0629 was down 15.47% compared to the 2022 peak of 42.6607, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180,315 UGX
2022 Average 198,413 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 164,867 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,447.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

35.4585
33.5234
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.9248, compared to 34.0322 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8926 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.9248
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.0322

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 1.5894 UGX (High: 36.0629 / Low: 34.4736). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3193 UGX (High: 34.5740 / Low: 34.2548).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.5894
December Spread (Stable) ±0.3193

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5511 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5511

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 35.2315) against the same month in 2022 (average: 41.0861), the exchange rate shifted by -5.8545 (-14.25%).

2023 Avg (January) 35.2315
2022 Avg (January) 41.0861

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.0629 34.4736 35.2315
February 35.6445 34.1854 34.6805
March 35.9140 34.6735 35.2973
April 35.8554 34.8181 35.2662
May 35.2498 34.4443 34.7889
June 34.9902 33.8772 34.2844
July 34.1008 33.3109 33.7725
August 34.1656 32.9734 33.6846
September 34.2188 33.8300 34.0567
October 34.3295 33.9193 34.0621
November 34.6240 33.9956 34.2439
December 34.5740 34.2548 34.3732