YEARLY HIGH
46.0711 UGX
YEARLY LOW
42.9820 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
43.8066 UGX

2020 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 46.0711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 42.9820.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0890 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.3569 to the December average rate of 43.2246, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 46.0711 was up 2.65% compared to the 2019 peak of 44.8809, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,355 UGX
2019 Average 219,466 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 214,910 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,445.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

44.7519
43.0858
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.0381, compared to 43.5751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4631 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.0381
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.5751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 2.5131 UGX (High: 46.0711 / Low: 43.5580). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2964 UGX (High: 43.4957 / Low: 43.1993).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.5131
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2964

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.6080 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 44.4070) against the same month in 2019 (average: 44.0935), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3135 (+0.71%).

2020 Avg (March) 44.4070
2019 Avg (March) 44.0935

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.7015 43.1710 43.3569
February 43.7297 43.1448 43.3000
March 46.0711 43.5580 44.4070
April 44.8227 44.2039 44.5468
May 44.7751 44.3898 44.6131
June 44.5108 43.7958 44.0051
July 43.9046 43.4693 43.6687
August 43.4957 43.1993 43.3505
September 43.8707 43.3815 43.5918
October 44.1313 43.5406 43.8530
November 44.1524 43.5555 43.7619
December 43.6343 42.9820 43.2246