YEARLY HIGH
28.1299 GMD
YEARLY LOW
25.3774 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
27.0568 GMD

2014 BGN to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 7, valuing the pair at 28.1299. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 5, dropping to 25.3774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7525 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.5070 to the December average rate of 27.1382, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 28.1299 was up 5.13% compared to the 2013 peak of 26.7563, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 140,649 GMD
2013 Average 114,947 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 126,887 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,762.65 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

28.0077
25.9556
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.1529, compared to 26.9606 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1923 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.1529
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.9606

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 2.6746 GMD (High: 28.0519 / Low: 25.3774). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3568 GMD (High: 27.1006 / Low: 26.7438).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.6746
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3568

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9097 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9097

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 27.8367) against the same month in 2013 (average: 22.1818), the exchange rate shifted by +5.6548 (+25.49%).

2014 Avg (May) 27.8367
2013 Avg (May) 22.1818

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 26.7206 26.3253 26.5070
February 26.8935 26.2806 26.6116
March 27.1006 26.7438 26.9371
April 28.1069 26.6728 27.4434
May 28.1299 27.5381 27.8367
June 27.7907 27.3845 27.5817
July 27.6913 27.1026 27.4254
August 27.2361 26.6782 27.0362
September 26.8076 25.5564 26.1266
October 28.0519 25.3774 26.5523
November 27.6668 27.2760 27.4848
December 27.5448 26.6291 27.1382