2016 BGN to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

25.1777 GMD

YEARLY LOW

21.7754 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

23.7634 GMD

2016 BGN to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 25.1777. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 21.7754.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4024 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.9443 to the December average rate of 23.0672, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 25.1777 was down 5.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 26.5915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 125,889 GMD

2015 Average 116,946 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 108,877 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,011.89 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

25.0092

21.6657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.5742, compared to 23.9527 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3785 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.5742

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 23.9527

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 3.0498 GMD (High: 24.8437 / Low: 21.7939). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2715 GMD (High: 24.5554 / Low: 24.2840).

March Spread (Volatile) ±3.0498

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2715

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5082 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 24.6951) against the same month in 2015 (average: 24.5591), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1360 (+0.55%).

2016 Avg (May) 24.6951

2015 Avg (May) 24.5591

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.0830	21.7754	21.9443
February	22.7871	21.9392	22.4086
March	24.8437	21.7939	23.1309
April	24.9375	24.5372	24.7306
May	25.1777	24.2331	24.6951
June	24.9428	24.1390	24.5356
July	24.3187	23.9667	24.1599
August	24.7803	24.1555	24.4390
September	24.5554	24.2840	24.4156
October	24.4934	23.7201	24.0713
November	24.2497	22.9580	23.5632
December	23.5710	22.6767	23.0672