YEARLY HIGH
3.8151 HRK
YEARLY LOW
3.7596 HRK
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7927 HRK

2018 BGN to HRK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to HRK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 9, valuing the pair at 3.8151. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 3.7596.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0555 HRK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8011 to the December average rate of 3.7857, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.8151 was down 1.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8733, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,075 HRK
2017 Average 19,078 HRK
Yearly Trough Low 18,798 HRK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 277.53 HRK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8060
3.7734
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HRK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7929, compared to 3.7926 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7929
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7926

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0316 HRK (High: 3.7912 / Low: 3.7596). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0128 HRK (High: 3.8044 / Low: 3.7916).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0316
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0127 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0127

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.8033) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8055), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0022 (-0.06%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.8033
2017 Avg (February) 3.8055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8136 3.7879 3.8011
February 3.8151 3.7918 3.8033
March 3.8105 3.7929 3.8017
April 3.8092 3.7851 3.7939
May 3.7912 3.7596 3.7812
June 3.7902 3.7680 3.7761
July 3.7893 3.7723 3.7817
August 3.8070 3.7873 3.7969
September 3.8044 3.7916 3.7993
October 3.8023 3.7842 3.7947
November 3.8054 3.7747 3.7975
December 3.7992 3.7718 3.7857