YEARLY HIGH
3.8909 HRK
YEARLY LOW
3.8206 HRK
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8497 HRK

2021 BGN to HRK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BGN to HRK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 3.8909. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 17, dropping to 3.8206.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0703 HRK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8672 to the December average rate of 3.8441, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.8909 was down 0.34% compared to the 2020 peak of 3.9042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,454 HRK
2020 Average 19,270 HRK
Yearly Trough Low 19,103 HRK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 351.54 HRK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

3.8789
3.8282
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HRK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8605, compared to 3.8390 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8605
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8390

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0358 HRK (High: 3.8628 / Low: 3.8270). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0130 HRK (High: 3.8395 / Low: 3.8265).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0358
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0130

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0230 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 3.8731) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.8122), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0609 (+1.60%).

2021 Avg (February) 3.8731
2020 Avg (February) 3.8122

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8769 3.8577 3.8672
February 3.8909 3.8619 3.8731
March 3.8831 3.8645 3.8747
April 3.8780 3.8576 3.8689
May 3.8628 3.8270 3.8459
June 3.8429 3.8206 3.8335
July 3.8550 3.8246 3.8362
August 3.8395 3.8265 3.8325
September 3.8564 3.8237 3.8349
October 3.8535 3.8265 3.8406
November 3.8585 3.8395 3.8457
December 3.8502 3.8320 3.8441