YEARLY HIGH
5.6247 MAD
YEARLY LOW
5.4071 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5463 MAD

2016 BGN to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 5.6247. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 5.4071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2176 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5030 to the December average rate of 5.4486, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.6247 was down 0.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.6266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,124 MAD
2015 Average 27,657 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 27,036 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,087.90 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.6128
5.4337
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5625, compared to 5.5301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0324 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5625
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1253 MAD (High: 5.5740 / Low: 5.4487). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0306 MAD (High: 5.5871 / Low: 5.5564).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1253
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0492 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 5.5869) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5515), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0353 (+0.64%).

2016 Avg (May) 5.5869
2015 Avg (May) 5.5515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5178 5.4786 5.5030
February 5.5913 5.5038 5.5501
March 5.6042 5.5043 5.5556
April 5.6136 5.5706 5.5979
May 5.6247 5.5249 5.5869
June 5.6192 5.5353 5.5815
July 5.5769 5.5243 5.5498
August 5.5991 5.5515 5.5733
September 5.5871 5.5564 5.5704
October 5.5771 5.5060 5.5408
November 5.5740 5.4487 5.4978
December 5.4893 5.4071 5.4486