YEARLY HIGH
5.6188 MAD
YEARLY LOW
5.4035 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5036 MAD

2019 BGN to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.6188. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 5.4035.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2153 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5644 to the December average rate of 5.4663, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.6188 was down 3.65% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.8316, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,094 MAD
2018 Average 28,331 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 27,017 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,076.47 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.5759
5.4373
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5440, compared to 5.4633 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0807 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5440
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4633

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.1021 MAD (High: 5.5715 / Low: 5.4693). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0417 MAD (High: 5.5576 / Low: 5.5158).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1021
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0464 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0464

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5.5644) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.7712), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2068 (-3.58%).

2019 Avg (January) 5.5644
2018 Avg (January) 5.7712

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6188 5.5391 5.5644
February 5.5780 5.5044 5.5360
March 5.5838 5.5247 5.5531
April 5.5525 5.4936 5.5313
May 5.5576 5.5158 5.5340
June 5.5715 5.4693 5.5449
July 5.5524 5.4603 5.4985
August 5.4773 5.4035 5.4533
September 5.4855 5.4121 5.4489
October 5.4875 5.4244 5.4587
November 5.4912 5.4298 5.4542
December 5.5018 5.4380 5.4663