YEARLY HIGH
5.8316 MAD
YEARLY LOW
5.5012 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6672 MAD

2018 BGN to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 5.8316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 5.5012.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3304 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7712 to the December average rate of 5.5480, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8316 was up 1.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.7450, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,158 MAD
2017 Average 28,004 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 27,506 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,651.88 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8313
5.4988
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7519, compared to 5.5824 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1695 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7519
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5824

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0911 MAD (High: 5.6457 / Low: 5.5546). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0314 MAD (High: 5.6680 / Low: 5.6365).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0911
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0314

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0850 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0850

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 5.8036) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.4752), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3284 (+6.00%).

2018 Avg (February) 5.8036
2017 Avg (February) 5.4752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8149 5.7251 5.7712
February 5.8316 5.7743 5.8036
March 5.8116 5.7657 5.7904
April 5.8050 5.7390 5.7811
May 5.7264 5.6510 5.6961
June 5.6989 5.6510 5.6691
July 5.6680 5.6365 5.6531
August 5.6457 5.5546 5.5939
September 5.6273 5.5844 5.6031
October 5.5941 5.5361 5.5696
November 5.5534 5.5012 5.5265
December 5.5929 5.5105 5.5480