YEARLY HIGH
11.5777 MDL
YEARLY LOW
9.4633 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.6451 MDL

2015 BGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 11.5777. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 9.4633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1144 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.8960 to the December average rate of 10.9887, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 11.5777 was up 17.06% compared to the 2014 peak of 9.8901, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,889 MDL
2014 Average 47,485 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 47,316 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,572.17 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

11.5612
9.7446
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.2681, compared to 11.0221 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7541 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.2681
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.0221

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.9501 MDL (High: 11.0898 / Low: 10.1397). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3437 MDL (High: 11.5316 / Low: 11.1879).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9501
October Spread (Stable) ±0.3437

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6093 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 11.3146) against the same month in 2014 (average: 9.4228), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8918 (+20.08%).

2015 Avg (September) 11.3146
2014 Avg (September) 9.4228

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.3970 9.4633 9.8960
February 11.0291 10.4295 10.7764
March 10.5566 9.7581 10.1670
April 10.3620 9.5994 9.9465
May 10.4224 9.9694 10.2165
June 11.0898 10.1397 10.6060
July 10.7945 10.4450 10.6552
August 11.2316 10.4925 10.8117
September 11.5777 11.0075 11.3146
October 11.5316 11.1879 11.4098
November 11.2679 10.7918 10.9528
December 11.1732 10.7567 10.9887