YEARLY HIGH
10.7540 MDL
YEARLY LOW
9.6133 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.1466 MDL

2018 BGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 10.7540. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 9.6133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1407 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.5712 to the December average rate of 9.9888, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.7540 was down 2.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.0488, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,770 MDL
2017 Average 53,176 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 48,066 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,703.65 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.6471
9.7360
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3379, compared to 9.9553 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3379
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.9553

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.4240 MDL (High: 10.0373 / Low: 9.6133). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1652 MDL (High: 10.4039 / Low: 10.2387).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4240
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1652

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2366 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2366

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 10.5298) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.8508), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3210 (-2.96%).

2018 Avg (February) 10.5298
2017 Avg (February) 10.8508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.6911 10.4521 10.5712
February 10.7540 10.3935 10.5298
March 10.5850 10.3332 10.4465
April 10.4039 10.2387 10.3222
May 10.1928 9.9944 10.0856
June 10.1625 9.9621 10.0724
July 10.1012 9.8723 9.9880
August 10.0373 9.6133 9.8120
September 10.1490 9.8586 10.0117
October 10.1023 9.8887 9.9896
November 10.0502 9.7979 9.9415
December 10.1023 9.8959 9.9888