2016 BGN to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.6498 MDL

YEARLY LOW

10.5828 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.2526 MDL

2016 BGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 11.6498. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 10.5828.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0670 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2924 to the December average rate of 10.8413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.6498 was up 0.62% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.5777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,249 MDL

2015 Average 53,217 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 52,914 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,334.99 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.4964

10.7818

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3548, compared to 11.1503 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2045 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3548

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.1503

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.5357 MDL (High: 11.4779 / Low: 10.9422). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0993 MDL (High: 11.3602 / Low: 11.2610).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5357

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0993

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2221 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2221

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 11.4369) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.2165), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2203 (+11.94%).

2016 Avg (May) 11.4369

2015 Avg (May) 10.2165

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.4779	10.9422	11.2924
February	11.5514	11.1487	11.3963
March	11.4011	11.0956	11.2526
April	11.5378	11.2962	11.3861
May	11.6498	11.3293	11.4369
June	11.5063	11.1318	11.3647
July	11.2710	11.0948	11.1901
August	11.4131	11.1896	11.2957
September	11.3602	11.2610	11.3092
October	11.3246	11.0873	11.2023
November	11.3133	10.9143	11.0635
December	11.0587	10.5828	10.8413