YEARLY HIGH
10.5738 MDL
YEARLY LOW
9.7532 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.0290 MDL

2019 BGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 24, valuing the pair at 10.5738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 9.7532.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8205 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.9945 to the December average rate of 9.8065, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 10.5738 was down 1.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 10.7540, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,869 MDL
2018 Average 50,721 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 48,766 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,102.67 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.5284
9.7409
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.1146, compared to 9.9434 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1712 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.1146
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.9434

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.4382 MDL (High: 10.4226 / Low: 9.9844). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1250 MDL (High: 9.9893 / Low: 9.8643).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4382
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3122 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3122

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 10.4627) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.0724), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3903 (+3.88%).

2019 Avg (June) 10.4627
2018 Avg (June) 10.0724

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.1883 9.8607 9.9945
February 9.9893 9.8643 9.9166
March 10.0707 9.7532 9.9209
April 10.3276 9.9160 10.1307
May 10.4106 10.1974 10.2622
June 10.5738 10.3736 10.4627
July 10.4226 9.9844 10.1505
August 10.1768 9.8555 10.0262
September 10.0880 9.8708 9.9658
October 9.9558 9.7919 9.8714
November 9.9574 9.7743 9.8402
December 9.8910 9.7535 9.8065