YEARLY HIGH
4.9570 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.2990 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5326 MOP

2015 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.9570. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 4.2990.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6579 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7547 to the December average rate of 4.4407, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.9570 was down 12.86% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.6887, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,785 MOP
2014 Average 27,116 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 21,495 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,289.75 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.7920
4.3444
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5607, compared to 4.5044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0563 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5607
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.4028 MOP (High: 4.9570 / Low: 4.5542). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0925 MOP (High: 4.6735 / Low: 4.5810).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4028
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0925

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2074 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 4.7547) against the same month in 2014 (average: 5.5622), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8076 (-14.52%).

2015 Avg (January) 4.7547
2014 Avg (January) 5.5622

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9570 4.5542 4.7547
February 4.6735 4.5810 4.6365
March 4.5723 4.2990 4.4291
April 4.5626 4.3172 4.4043
May 4.6853 4.4533 4.5615
June 4.6279 4.4670 4.5782
July 4.5350 4.4246 4.4895
August 4.6881 4.4509 4.5446
September 4.6508 4.5500 4.5885
October 4.6725 4.4701 4.5814
November 4.4961 4.3159 4.3817
December 4.4846 4.3284 4.4407