YEARLY HIGH
4.6243 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.3173 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4590 MOP

2023 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 4.6243. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 4.3173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3069 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4409 to the December average rate of 4.4965, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.6243 was down 1.65% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.7020, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,121 MOP
2022 Average 21,724 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 21,587 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,534.75 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.5670
4.3317
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4621, compared to 4.4558 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4621
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4558

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.1691 MOP (High: 4.4986 / Low: 4.3296). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0720 MOP (High: 4.5317 / Low: 4.4597).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1691
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0720

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0935 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 4.5474) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.2115), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3359 (+7.98%).

2023 Avg (July) 4.5474
2022 Avg (July) 4.2115

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4986 4.3296 4.4409
February 4.5108 4.3613 4.4215
March 4.5043 4.3602 4.4213
April 4.5708 4.4923 4.5322
May 4.5753 4.4091 4.4845
June 4.5299 4.4141 4.4723
July 4.6243 4.4722 4.5474
August 4.5317 4.4597 4.4952
September 4.4596 4.3300 4.4017
October 4.3951 4.3173 4.3513
November 4.5116 4.3558 4.4426
December 4.5774 4.4289 4.4965