YEARLY HIGH
5.1507 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.6294 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8758 MOP

2018 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 5.1507. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 4.6294.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5213 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0231 to the December average rate of 4.6871, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.1507 was up 3.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.9677, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,754 MOP
2017 Average 23,188 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 23,147 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,606.56 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.1318
4.6423
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9984, compared to 4.7531 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2453 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9984
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7531

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2013 MOP (High: 5.1183 / Low: 4.9170). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0525 MOP (High: 4.8569 / Low: 4.8044).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2013
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0525

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1837 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1837

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 5.0886) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3496), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7389 (+16.99%).

2018 Avg (February) 5.0886
2017 Avg (February) 4.3496

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1183 4.9170 5.0231
February 5.1507 5.0264 5.0886
March 5.1420 5.0512 5.0910
April 5.1215 4.9962 5.0727
May 4.9677 4.7755 4.8889
June 4.8790 4.7829 4.8261
July 4.8569 4.8044 4.8312
August 4.8448 4.6907 4.7678
September 4.8594 4.7819 4.8095
October 4.7869 4.6843 4.7401
November 4.7253 4.6294 4.6831
December 4.7269 4.6494 4.6871