YEARLY HIGH
4.7687 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.4943 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6189 MOP

2019 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 4.7687. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 4.4943.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2744 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7145 to the December average rate of 4.5655, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.7687 was down 7.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.1507, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,844 MOP
2018 Average 24,372 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 22,472 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,372.05 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.7316
4.5269
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6651, compared to 4.5728 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0923 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6651
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5728

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.1159 MOP (High: 4.6102 / Low: 4.4943). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0413 MOP (High: 4.6443 / Low: 4.6030).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1159
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0468 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0468

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4.7145) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.0231), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3086 (-6.14%).

2019 Avg (January) 4.7145
2018 Avg (January) 5.0231

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7687 4.6696 4.7145
February 4.7333 4.6594 4.6912
March 4.7203 4.6263 4.6695
April 4.6724 4.6008 4.6382
May 4.6443 4.6030 4.6239
June 4.6880 4.6019 4.6532
July 4.6614 4.5625 4.6141
August 4.6348 4.5359 4.5908
September 4.5656 4.5050 4.5440
October 4.6102 4.4943 4.5660
November 4.6109 4.5374 4.5562
December 4.5985 4.5322 4.5655