YEARLY HIGH
5.0307 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.6010 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8430 MOP

2021 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 5.0307. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 4.6010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4297 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9717 to the December average rate of 4.6417, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.0307 was up 0.31% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.0152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,154 MOP
2020 Average 23,313 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 23,005 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,148.31 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.0048
4.6087
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9255, compared to 4.7604 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9255
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7604

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1542 MOP (High: 4.7552 / Low: 4.6010). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0417 MOP (High: 4.6646 / Low: 4.6229).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1542
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0821 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0821

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.9717) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.5453), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4264 (+9.38%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.9717
2020 Avg (January) 4.5453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0307 4.9311 4.9717
February 4.9714 4.8879 4.9398
March 4.9382 4.7923 4.8638
April 4.9505 4.8048 4.8919
May 5.0059 4.9130 4.9659
June 4.9968 4.8461 4.9199
July 4.8620 4.8129 4.8377
August 4.8608 4.7833 4.8242
September 4.8654 4.7504 4.8270
October 4.7832 4.7239 4.7509
November 4.7552 4.6010 4.6809
December 4.6646 4.6229 4.6417