YEARLY HIGH
8.9813 IDR
YEARLY LOW
7.7819 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2412 IDR

2016 BIF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BIF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 8.9813. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 20, dropping to 7.7819.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1994 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8816 to the December average rate of 8.0057, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.9813 was down 5.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.5073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,907 IDR
2015 Average 42,758 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 38,910 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,997.08 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.9885
7.7058
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5664, compared to 7.9160 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6504 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5664
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9160

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.9490 IDR (High: 8.7973 / Low: 7.8483). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0693 IDR (High: 7.8512 / Low: 7.7819).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9490
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0693

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4168 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 8.8816) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.0217), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8600 (+10.72%).

2016 Avg (January) 8.8816
2015 Avg (January) 8.0217

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9813 8.7500 8.8816
February 8.8091 8.5388 8.6659
March 8.5415 8.3348 8.4337
April 8.5250 8.4225 8.4768
May 8.7847 8.4525 8.6113
June 8.7973 7.8483 8.3291
July 7.9594 7.8842 7.9123
August 7.9906 7.8717 7.9160
September 7.9661 7.7821 7.8848
October 7.8512 7.7819 7.8127
November 8.1099 7.7847 7.9644
December 8.1191 7.8893 8.0057