YEARLY HIGH
8.6291 IDR
YEARLY LOW
7.5148 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9668 IDR

2018 BIF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BIF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 8.6291. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 7.5148.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1143 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.6066 to the December average rate of 8.0320, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.6291 was up 6.91% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.0717, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,145 IDR
2017 Average 38,838 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 37,574 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,571.61 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.5666
7.5194
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7820, compared to 8.1516 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3696 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7820
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1516

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.5463 IDR (High: 8.4378 / Low: 7.8915). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0816 IDR (High: 8.1482 / Low: 8.0665).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5463
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0816

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3281 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3281

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 8.4793) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.7086), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7707 (+10.00%).

2018 Avg (October) 8.4793
2017 Avg (October) 7.7086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.7317 7.5148 7.6066
February 7.7487 7.5822 7.6956
March 7.8469 7.7288 7.7905
April 7.8695 7.7235 7.7901
May 8.0524 7.8292 7.9232
June 8.0385 7.7725 7.8861
July 8.1307 7.9870 8.0599
August 8.1341 8.0129 8.0733
September 8.1482 8.0665 8.1136
October 8.6291 8.1993 8.4793
November 8.4378 7.8915 8.1513
December 8.1355 7.9170 8.0320