2011 BND to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2344.2640 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1779.9773 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2009.7758 UGX

2011 BND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 2, valuing the pair at 2344.2640. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1779.9773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 564.2868 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1809.0236 to the December average rate of 1892.7061, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2344.2640 was up 29.58% compared to the 2010 peak of 1809.0775, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,721,320 UGX

2010 Average 8,008,503 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,899,886 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,821,433.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2325.0813

1762.1093

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1892.9306, compared to 2126.6209 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 233.6903 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1892.9306

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2126.6209

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 234.5841 UGX (High: 2168.4676 / Low: 1933.8836). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 36.1309 UGX (High: 1946.4195 / Low: 1910.2886).

June Spread (Volatile) ±234.5841

May Spread (Stable) ±36.1309

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 195.1561 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -195.1561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 2265.6875) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1686.1110), the exchange rate shifted by +579.5766 (+34.37%).

2011 Avg (September) 2265.6875

2010 Avg (September) 1686.1110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1859.3343	1779.9773	1809.0236
February	1868.3302	1805.9319	1839.0427
March	1911.7971	1863.2267	1890.3104
April	1943.7638	1852.3650	1901.9846
May	1946.4195	1910.2886	1931.0067
June	2168.4676	1933.8836	1986.2155
July	2170.3628	2062.3289	2127.9154
August	2344.1037	2171.8381	2278.1669
September	2344.2640	2205.5079	2265.6875
October	2254.6387	2073.7399	2195.2028
November	2071.8056	1920.8475	2000.0467
December	1988.9668	1806.9852	1892.7061