2012 BND to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2209.3425 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1830.9968 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2006.2162 UGX

2012 BND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 2209.3425. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 1830.9968.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 378.3457 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1884.9525 to the December average rate of 2190.5607, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2209.3425 was down 5.76% compared to the 2011 peak of 2344.2640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,046,713 UGX

2011 Average 10,054,322 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,154,984 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,891,728.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2223.4176

1829.1340

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1937.9045, compared to 2074.5280 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 136.6235 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1937.9045

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2074.5280

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 121.4154 UGX (High: 1952.4123 / Low: 1830.9968). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 38.0341 UGX (High: 2209.3425 / Low: 2171.3085).

February Spread (Volatile) ±121.4154

December Spread (Stable) ±38.0341

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 37.8584 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -37.8584

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 2190.5607) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1892.7061), the exchange rate shifted by +297.8546 (+15.74%).

2012 Avg (December) 2190.5607

2011 Avg (December) 1892.7061

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1912.0793	1850.6809	1884.9525
February	1952.4123	1830.9968	1861.9910
March	2037.1370	1942.5071	1972.2904
April	2031.8562	1966.9469	2000.6582
May	2030.3777	1933.6476	1962.7998
June	1967.9772	1928.7819	1944.7348
July	1994.5660	1941.7091	1962.6209
August	2023.4109	1985.0008	1997.7036
September	2080.1785	2014.1328	2044.7393
October	2125.4651	2079.4974	2110.0802
November	2205.8011	2106.3640	2141.4631
December	2209.3425	2171.3085	2190.5607