YEARLY HIGH
2799.5946 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2326.5059 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2700.8397 UGX

2019 BND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 2799.5946. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 2326.5059.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 473.0887 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2363.0865 to the December average rate of 2708.7563, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2799.5946 was down 3.21% compared to the 2018 peak of 2892.3348, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,997,973 UGX
2018 Average 13,277,562 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,632,530 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,365,443.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2829.7761
2320.6602
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2683.3395, compared to 2718.3399 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 35.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2683.3395
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2718.3399

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was February, with a trading range of 413.3220 UGX (High: 2742.6646 / Low: 2329.3427). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.8034 UGX (High: 2721.4118 / Low: 2699.6084).

February Spread (Volatile) ±413.3220
December Spread (Stable) ±21.8034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 25.6245 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -25.6245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 2787.3498) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2759.1116), the exchange rate shifted by +28.2382 (+1.02%).

2019 Avg (May) 2787.3498
2018 Avg (May) 2759.1116

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2709.5959 2326.5059 2363.0865
February 2742.6646 2329.3427 2677.4953
March 2751.3975 2724.3843 2742.8197
April 2782.3999 2749.5390 2767.1927
May 2799.5946 2734.5645 2787.3498
June 2792.8103 2721.0497 2762.0929
July 2757.5696 2716.5048 2736.4685
August 2741.8816 2656.1450 2731.7429
September 2733.7392 2661.5412 2718.0857
October 2734.7266 2655.2688 2699.6890
November 2732.3597 2701.9461 2715.2970
December 2721.4118 2699.6084 2708.7563