2018 BND to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2892.3348 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2343.4153 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2656.3917 UGX

2018 BND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 2892.3348. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 2343.4153.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 548.9195 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2753.9122 to the December average rate of 2367.6381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2892.3348 was up 6.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 2725.3714, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,461,674 UGX

2017 Average 13,102,940 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,717,076 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,744,597.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2851.4976

2323.6509

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2756.3467, compared to 2556.4366 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 199.9101 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2756.3467

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2556.4366

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 446.8813 UGX (High: 2892.3348 / Low: 2445.4535). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 43.0431 UGX (High: 2775.1215 / Low: 2732.0784).

July Spread (Volatile) ±446.8813

February Spread (Stable) ±43.0431

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 211.9448 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -211.9448

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 2655.2356) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2631.4091), the exchange rate shifted by +23.8264 (+0.91%).

2018 Avg (July) 2655.2356

2017 Avg (July) 2631.4091

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2789.0451	2717.7628	2753.9122
February	2775.1215	2732.0784	2757.3359
March	2815.3189	2745.4780	2779.0051
April	2821.9874	2776.7814	2807.5104
May	2812.9942	2545.7082	2759.1116
June	2883.4061	2536.5456	2681.2052
July	2892.3348	2445.4535	2655.2356
August	2740.9104	2439.3279	2477.7233
September	2803.0225	2491.2273	2575.3843
October	2736.1072	2660.1116	2683.0552
November	2718.0116	2362.5904	2579.5829
December	2713.9999	2343.4153	2367.6381