2011 BOB to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.2649 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.5309 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.7332 KES

2011 BOB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BOB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 15.2649. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 11.5309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7340 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.5860 to the December average rate of 12.5370, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 15.2649 was up 30.41% compared to the 2010 peak of 11.7050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,325 KES

2010 Average 56,508 KES

Yearly Trough Low 57,655 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,669.89 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

14.7539

11.2980

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.0389, compared to 13.4274 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3885 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.0389

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4274

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 1.3957 KES (High: 14.7685 / Low: 13.3728). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1419 KES (High: 11.6729 / Low: 11.5309).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.3957

January Spread (Stable) ±0.1419

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0339 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0339

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 14.4659) against the same month in 2010 (average: 11.5248), the exchange rate shifted by +2.9411 (+25.52%).

2011 Avg (October) 14.4659

2010 Avg (October) 11.5248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.6729	11.5309	11.5860
February	11.7482	11.5506	11.6371
March	12.2672	11.8051	12.0493
April	12.1006	11.8980	11.9789
May	12.4701	11.8968	12.2063
June	13.2945	12.2515	12.7758
July	13.1450	12.6566	12.9106
August	13.8213	13.0902	13.3599
September	14.7685	13.3728	13.8591
October	15.2649	14.1535	14.4659
November	14.0320	12.8766	13.4320
December	13.0220	12.0995	12.5370