YEARLY HIGH
15.0378 KES
YEARLY LOW
14.4559 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.6590 KES

2018 BOB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BOB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 15.0378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 14.4559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5819 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.8838 to the December average rate of 14.7863, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.0378 was down 0.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 15.1136, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,189 KES
2017 Average 74,523 KES
Yearly Trough Low 72,280 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,909.51 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.9160
14.5294
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.6556, compared to 14.6623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.6556
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.6623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.3676 KES (High: 14.9932 / Low: 14.6256). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0990 KES (High: 14.6696 / Low: 14.5706).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3676
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2101 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2101

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 14.8838) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.9931), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1093 (-0.73%).

2018 Avg (January) 14.8838
2017 Avg (January) 14.9931

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.0378 14.7587 14.8838
February 14.7474 14.5800 14.6737
March 14.6768 14.5765 14.6372
April 14.6881 14.4559 14.5616
May 14.7054 14.4884 14.5629
June 14.6696 14.5706 14.6147
July 14.6632 14.5290 14.5799
August 14.6355 14.5268 14.5769
September 14.6562 14.4696 14.5834
October 14.7369 14.5816 14.6305
November 14.9932 14.6256 14.8167
December 14.8533 14.6598 14.7863